Canadian Rents Just Hit a 33-Month Low. Here's What That Actually Means for Renters.

Canadian Rents Just Hit a 33-Month Low. Here's What That Actually Means for Renters.
DATE
March 10, 2026
READING TIME
time

The streak is now 17 months and counting. Canadian asking rents fell again in February, dropping 2.8% year-over-year to a national average of $2,030, according to the latest report from Rentals.ca and Urbanation. Month-over-month, prices slipped another 1.3% from January.

That puts rents at their lowest point in 33 months, and down 7.4% from two years ago.

To put that in plain terms: if you're searching for a rental today, you're entering a market that looks nothing like it did in 2023 or early 2024. And that's a pretty big deal.

The Story Behind the Numbers

Urbanation president Shaun Hildebrand called it plainly: "Canada is undergoing its largest downturn in rents in recent history." He pointed to a convergence of more supply and slower demand as the core reason, describing it as "a rare opportunity for renters to take advantage of better affordability."

He's not wrong. The supply side of Canada's rental market finally moved. Years of purpose-built rental construction, pushed along by federal programs and insured lending, are now delivering units at a rate the market hasn't absorbed in years. Meanwhile, demand softened sharply because immigration slowed dramatically in 2025, falling roughly 18% year-over-year. Canada actually recorded a net loss of non-permanent residents, and provinces that leaned most heavily on newcomers for rental demand, particularly Ontario and B.C., felt that reversal fast.

The national vacancy rate climbed to 3.1%, according to CMHC, which is a meaningful shift from the historically tight conditions of 2022 and 2023. When vacancy rises, landlord incentives follow. Free months of rent, reduced deposits, flexible move-in dates. Renters are negotiating in ways that simply weren't possible 18 months ago.

And yet, before anyone declares victory on affordability, one number deserves attention: average asking rents are still 2.3% higher than they were three years ago. Rents rose so fast through 2022 and 2023 that 17 months of declines haven't fully closed the gap. The market is moving in the right direction, but it hasn't reset to pre-surge levels.

What's Falling Fastest, and Where

Not all rental types are coming down at the same pace. Condominium apartments saw the steepest drop, falling 5.1% year-over-year to $2,082. Purpose-built apartments declined more modestly, down 1.9% to an average of $2,030. Houses and townhouses for rent dropped 4.5% to $2,009.

The condo correction makes sense when you understand what drove those rents up in the first place. Investor-owned condos in Toronto and Vancouver were largely built to house the wave of newcomers arriving between 2022 and 2024. When that population growth reversed, those units hit the market en masse. The math for condo investors shifted, and they're competing hard now, which is reflected in the numbers.

Provincially, the declines are concentrated in Canada's largest markets. Alberta saw the steepest drop at 4.4%, with average apartment rents now sitting at $1,656. Ontario fell 4.3% to $2,229, and B.C. came in close behind at 4.2%, with an average of $2,354. Quebec eased 2.7% to $1,916.

Not everywhere is trending the same direction, though. Nova Scotia is a clear outlier: average rents there rose 6.3% year-over-year to $2,307, driven partly by ongoing affordability pressure and limited new supply relative to demand. Saskatchewan climbed 3.3% to $1,373, and Manitoba edged up 2.3% to $1,644. Smaller markets with less investor-driven condo inventory are simply playing by different rules.

The Leverage Has Shifted

If you're a renter right now, or someone considering a move, the practical takeaway is straightforward: you have more options and more negotiating power than at any point in the past three years. Vacancy is up, landlords are competing, and asking prices have room to move on request in many markets.

That said, "affordable" is relative. A $2,030 national average still chews through a significant portion of most household incomes, and CMHC has flagged that affordability challenges persist, particularly for lower-income renters who aren't well-served by the higher-end units that make up much of the new supply.

There's also a longer-term wrinkle worth knowing about. Construction activity is slowing in Toronto and Vancouver, and many projects that were cancelled between 2022 and 2024 are not coming back. That supply gap could create renewed pressure in the rental market by 2028 or 2029, particularly if immigration policy shifts again or population growth rebounds. Today's renter-friendly conditions aren't permanent. They're the product of a specific moment when years of construction deliveries landed just as demand pulled back.

For now, though, that moment is here. If you've been waiting for a better time to negotiate your lease terms, move to a different unit, or consider renting in a market that previously felt out of reach, the data suggests this is the window.

Disclaimer:
The content of this article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial, legal, or professional advice. Coldwell Banker Horizon Realty makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of the information provided. Readers are encouraged to consult with qualified professionals regarding their specific real estate, financial, and legal circumstances. The views expressed in this article may not necessarily reflect the views of Coldwell Banker Horizon Realty or its agents. Real estate market conditions and government policies may change, and readers should verify the latest updates with appropriate professionals.

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Canadian Rents Just Hit a 33-Month Low. Here's What That Actually Means for Renters.

The streak is now 17 months and counting. Canadian asking rents fell again in February, dropping 2.8% year-over-year to a national average of $2,030, according to the latest report from Rentals.ca and Urbanation. Month-over-month, prices slipped another 1.3% from January.

That puts rents at their lowest point in 33 months, and down 7.4% from two years ago.

To put that in plain terms: if you're searching for a rental today, you're entering a market that looks nothing like it did in 2023 or early 2024. And that's a pretty big deal.

The Story Behind the Numbers

Urbanation president Shaun Hildebrand called it plainly: "Canada is undergoing its largest downturn in rents in recent history." He pointed to a convergence of more supply and slower demand as the core reason, describing it as "a rare opportunity for renters to take advantage of better affordability."

He's not wrong. The supply side of Canada's rental market finally moved. Years of purpose-built rental construction, pushed along by federal programs and insured lending, are now delivering units at a rate the market hasn't absorbed in years. Meanwhile, demand softened sharply because immigration slowed dramatically in 2025, falling roughly 18% year-over-year. Canada actually recorded a net loss of non-permanent residents, and provinces that leaned most heavily on newcomers for rental demand, particularly Ontario and B.C., felt that reversal fast.

The national vacancy rate climbed to 3.1%, according to CMHC, which is a meaningful shift from the historically tight conditions of 2022 and 2023. When vacancy rises, landlord incentives follow. Free months of rent, reduced deposits, flexible move-in dates. Renters are negotiating in ways that simply weren't possible 18 months ago.

And yet, before anyone declares victory on affordability, one number deserves attention: average asking rents are still 2.3% higher than they were three years ago. Rents rose so fast through 2022 and 2023 that 17 months of declines haven't fully closed the gap. The market is moving in the right direction, but it hasn't reset to pre-surge levels.

What's Falling Fastest, and Where

Not all rental types are coming down at the same pace. Condominium apartments saw the steepest drop, falling 5.1% year-over-year to $2,082. Purpose-built apartments declined more modestly, down 1.9% to an average of $2,030. Houses and townhouses for rent dropped 4.5% to $2,009.

The condo correction makes sense when you understand what drove those rents up in the first place. Investor-owned condos in Toronto and Vancouver were largely built to house the wave of newcomers arriving between 2022 and 2024. When that population growth reversed, those units hit the market en masse. The math for condo investors shifted, and they're competing hard now, which is reflected in the numbers.

Provincially, the declines are concentrated in Canada's largest markets. Alberta saw the steepest drop at 4.4%, with average apartment rents now sitting at $1,656. Ontario fell 4.3% to $2,229, and B.C. came in close behind at 4.2%, with an average of $2,354. Quebec eased 2.7% to $1,916.

Not everywhere is trending the same direction, though. Nova Scotia is a clear outlier: average rents there rose 6.3% year-over-year to $2,307, driven partly by ongoing affordability pressure and limited new supply relative to demand. Saskatchewan climbed 3.3% to $1,373, and Manitoba edged up 2.3% to $1,644. Smaller markets with less investor-driven condo inventory are simply playing by different rules.

The Leverage Has Shifted

If you're a renter right now, or someone considering a move, the practical takeaway is straightforward: you have more options and more negotiating power than at any point in the past three years. Vacancy is up, landlords are competing, and asking prices have room to move on request in many markets.

That said, "affordable" is relative. A $2,030 national average still chews through a significant portion of most household incomes, and CMHC has flagged that affordability challenges persist, particularly for lower-income renters who aren't well-served by the higher-end units that make up much of the new supply.

There's also a longer-term wrinkle worth knowing about. Construction activity is slowing in Toronto and Vancouver, and many projects that were cancelled between 2022 and 2024 are not coming back. That supply gap could create renewed pressure in the rental market by 2028 or 2029, particularly if immigration policy shifts again or population growth rebounds. Today's renter-friendly conditions aren't permanent. They're the product of a specific moment when years of construction deliveries landed just as demand pulled back.

For now, though, that moment is here. If you've been waiting for a better time to negotiate your lease terms, move to a different unit, or consider renting in a market that previously felt out of reach, the data suggests this is the window.